Sunday, May 16, 2010

This year, will at least one EU country will stop using the Euro?

Intrade puts the probability at 19%.
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  1. Doc MerlinMay 17, 2010 at 7:36 AM

    I have a feeling in-trade over rates probabilities at the extremes and underrates the ones near 50%.
    This would be the natural result of you have some amount of partisanship ideology affecting the bids.

    I haven't done a study of this, but it is what I suspect.

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